How can a maintenance team see a predictive AOG-risk score that ties back to MEL deferrals and AD/SB tracking?

A maintenance team sees a predictive 0-100 AOG-risk score per aircraft where every point traces to a named factor, including open MEL deferrals and due AD/SB items, rather than a black-box guess. The score is computed by a deterministic risk engine that runs the same FAR-based rules on the same inputs every time. AviationAlley is opening to a founding cohort of operators, so this describes what the current build is designed to do.

Most maintenance teams track MEL deferrals in one place, AD/SB compliance in another, and have no single number that says which tail is closest to grounding. AviationAlley connects work orders, MEL deferrals, and AD/SB tracking to a predictive AOG-risk score so the risk picture lives where the maintenance data already is. The score itself is deterministic, not AI: it is produced by a rule engine you could put in front of an FAA inspector, because the same inputs always return the same answer. A plain-English explainer then narrates what is driving each score, so the number is never a mystery. AviationAlley is pre-launch and opening to a founding cohort.

Why the answer is what it is

A 0-100 score where every point traces to a named factor

The maintenance module surfaces a predictive AOG-risk score from 0 to 100 for each aircraft. Every point traces to a named factor, not a black-box guess, so the team can see exactly why a tail is rising toward grounding instead of trusting an unexplained number.

MEL deferrals and AD/SB tracking feed the same view

Work orders, MEL deferrals, AD/SB import, and predictive maintenance live together in one module. Because the deferrals and airworthiness directives are tracked in the same system that computes the score, the risk number reflects the open MEL items and due AD/SB work directly, not a separate spreadsheet someone reconciles by hand.

The score is a deterministic rule engine, not AI

AOG-risk and airworthiness-due run on deterministic, line-by-line FAR rules, the same way FAR 117 and FRAT do on the platform. Same inputs, same answer, every time, with no probabilities and no black box. That is the version you can show an FAA inspector to defend a finding.

A plain-English explainer narrates the number

A risk explainer puts the factors behind a score into words, so a tail's AOG-risk reads as a clear cause-and-effect summary rather than a bare figure. The explainer only describes what the deterministic engine already computed; it never decides the score itself.

It folds into the daily dispatch read

Grounded tails, open MELs, crew nearing a FAR 117 cap, and weather get synthesized into one 'what needs attention now' dispatch view. The AOG-risk picture is part of the morning operational read, not a report someone has to go pull separately.

What to look for

  • Open the maintenance module to see the per-aircraft 0-100 AOG-risk score
  • Confirm each tail's score lists the named factors driving it
  • Track MEL deferrals in the same module so they feed the score
  • Import and track AD/SB items against each aircraft
  • Read the plain-English explainer for any tail you want to understand
  • Watch grounded tails and open MELs in the daily dispatch view
  • Give FAA evaluators time-limited, read-only auditor access for review

Related questions

Is the AOG-risk score generated by AI?

No. The score is computed by a deterministic rule engine that runs line-by-line FAR-based rules, so the same inputs always return the same answer. AI is only used to narrate, in plain English, the factors the engine already produced. It never decides the score.

Do MEL deferrals and AD/SB items live in the same place as the score?

Yes. Work orders, MEL deferrals, AD/SB import, and predictive maintenance are all part of one maintenance module, so the deferrals and airworthiness items the team already tracks are the same data that informs the risk view.

Can an FAA inspector review how the score works?

The scoring runs on auditable, line-by-line FAR rules rather than a probabilistic model, which is what makes it defensible in front of an inspector. Evaluators can also be given time-limited, read-only auditor access that expires automatically.

Is this available today?

AviationAlley is pre-launch and opening to a founding cohort of operators. This describes what the current build is designed to do; request early access to see the maintenance and AOG-risk features in your own operation.

How Roffik addresses this

The platform for FAA-approved Part 142 training centers — simulator scheduling, FAA compliance records, client-account billing, and SWIFT wire reconciliation. Learn more about AviationAlley.

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